
Whether you own a house already or you’re looking to buy one, you probably care about home prices. But it’s not always easy to figure out what’s really happening right now, especially if you look at the headlines.
One says home prices are falling. The next says they’re still climbing.
So, which one’s right? It comes down to where you live.
What’s Really Going on with Asking Prices
Part of the confusion out there may be based on what’s happening to asking prices and how the media is talking about it. They’re calling attention to how asking prices are falling, but don’t give the full context or say that seasonality is at play. So here it is.
Right now, there are more homes on the market than at any other time since November 2019. And with mortgage rates rising since the spring, those homes are taking a little longer to sell. One way to help a home sell quickly in that environment is to have a lower asking price.
According to HousingWire Data, the median asking price is down from $449k in early August to $435k just 2 months later (see graph below):

That’s a dip of about 3%, and a lot of it is normal for this time of year.
Asking prices cool off every fall once the busy summer season wraps up. With fewer buyers this time of year, sellers price a bit more competitively. Today’s rates play a role too, since sellers are pricing to match what buyers can afford right now. And that’s a good thing. Smart pricing helps homes sell.
Just keep in mind, that’s a national list price. It doesn’t show what homes near you are actually selling for. So before you react to a headline, ask a local agent what’s really happening in your area.
Where You Live Changes Everything
Realtor.com explains:
“While national headlines might suggest a buyer’s market is taking hold, the reality on the ground depends heavily on where and what you’re trying to buy. Local trends can diverge sharply from national averages, especially when you factor in price range, property type, and post-pandemic market dynamics.”
The latest numbers from S&P Cotality Case-Shiller Index show how true that is. Over the past year, sales prices in Chicago rose almost 7%. In Seattle, they dipped about 1.6%. That’s a gap of nearly 9 percentage points between two major cities (see graph below):

That gap changes your game plan. Selling in New York, where prices are up almost 6%? You may not need to cut your price. Buying in Denver or Las Vegas? You may have more room to negotiate.
Why You Don’t Need To Worry About a Crash
Just in case you’re seeing those slight declines in some markets and worried it means a bigger crash is coming, here’s what you need to remember. Even in the major metros where prices are down, the declines are 2% or less. That’s a long way from a crash like 2008. And if you look back at the graph above, there are more cities in the green than in the red.
And over time, home values have a strong track record. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) says national prices have grown year-over-year every quarter since 2012. Go back further, and a $100k home bought in 1991 would be worth about $436k today, even with the 2008 crash factored in (see graph below):

So, this short-term dip probably won’t stick around. The small declines we’re seeing now are in markets that overheated during the pandemic. As a whole, the market is headed back to normal – and normal means prices should rise over time.
Bottom Line
National headlines can’t tell you what your home is worth or how much room you have to negotiate. Local data can. If you’re thinking about buying or selling, connect with a local real estate agent to look at how prices are moving in your area, so you can set your price or make your offer with confidence.










That’s a pretty dramatic increase in just over a decade. HousingWire shows a lot of that 
What’s behind the divide? Due to higher rates and the last few years of home price appreciation, fewer buyers can comfortably afford homes at the entry-level price point right now – especially first-time buyers. So, demand in that segment has slowed down.
Buyers with deep pockets are moving fast when a well-priced home in their range comes up. As Zillow puts it:
Why does this happen? Homes that hit the market in spring and summer don’t all close right away. Some sit. New listings keep coming. And
It works like this. Spring and early summer are when sellers feel the most confident because that’s when demand is typically strongest. So, many homeowners price their homes higher during those periods because of the uptick in demand.

Builders aren’t like homeowners who can wait for the right offer. Unsold homes cost them money as long as they sit empty. So, builders cut prices and add incentives to keep them moving. That trend has carried into August. NAHB’s latest 



And experts say that’s what to expect going forward, too. As Selma Hepp, Chief Economist at Cotality,
That’s helpful no matter which side you’re on. When the number of homes for sale isn’t changing much, you know what you’re walking into – how many options you’ll have as a buyer, and how much competition you’ll face as a seller.
Yes, there was one brief spike above that threshold, but overall,