Category Archives: Selling Tips

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Selling Your Home? What You Should Know About Price Cuts vs. Rate Buydowns.

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Selling Your Home? What You Should Know About Price Cuts vs. Rate Buydowns. Simplifying The Market

In today’s market, a growing number of sellers are opting to do something called a price cut – especially when their house has been on the market for a while without any bites.

According to HousingWire Data as many as 4 in 10 (43%) sellers are going this route – that’s the highest it’s been in 4 years. But what if there’s another (potentially better option) for your bottom line? And it’s just as appealing, if not more so, to today’s buyers?

Enter the rate buydown.

Why Buyers Expect a Deal

First, let’s set the stage on why some compromise may be necessary in today’s market.

In September, Redfin says there were 63% more sellers than buyers in the market. And with so many sellers active and relatively few buyers by comparison, those purchasers are realizing they have more power. And as mortgage rates continue to put a squeeze on their budgets, they’re leaning in and using it.

One of the most common negotiation points? The price.

That’s because they want to feel like they’re getting a deal and they want to see their monthly payment drop. And since buyers can’t control rates, the price feels like the most obvious lever to pull.

But the savviest sellers realize being flexible doesn’t always mean a lower price, paying for a buyer’s rate buydown might work better.

What Is a Rate Buydown?

A buydown is money paid at closing to lower the buyer’s mortgage rate. When you pay it as the seller, you are paying some of the buyer’s interest ahead of time, so the buyer gets a lower rate and monthly payment. And that’s especially appealing to today’s buyers.

  • Temporary buydowns lower the rate for the first few years, then it goes back to the full rate. The more years a buydown covers, the more it costs. These work well for buyers who expect to refinance within a certain amount of time.

  • A permanent buydown lowers the rate for the whole loan. These are paid for with “discount points.” One point costs 1% of the loan. According to FICO, each point generally lowers the rate by about a quarter of a percent. This type of buydown works well for buyers who plan to stay in the home for a long time.

Same Money, Different Results

And here’s why these can be a win-win for both buyers and sellers. Rate buydowns help sellers stand out in a crowded market and they can have a bigger impact on your buyer than a price cut would.

Here’s an example to show you what that could look like. 

Let’s say you’re willing to make a $10,000 concession to help get the deal done. Take a look at these three ways to spend that money and the impact they could have on a buyer’s $420,000, 30-year fixed loan at 7%:

It’s the same $10,000 from the seller. But a 2-1 buydown saves the buyer about eight times more each month in the first year.

And since most buyers shop by monthly payment, that’s what grabs their attention.

That’s what makes a rate buydown worth considering. Instead of reducing your asking price, you may be able to use that same money to have a bigger impact on your buyer’s monthly payments. And depending on what matters most to that buyer, the immediate savings could be more appealing than a price reduction.

The key is working with your agent and the buyer’s lender to compare the options and see which one makes the most sense.

Things To Know

  • Loan programs cap how much a seller can pay toward a buyer’s costs. 

  • Money toward buydowns doesn’t limit what else a buyer may ask a seller to pay for. Buyers may still ask for repairs or other concessions.

  • Putting the buydown offer in your listing lets agents and buyers know it’s an option.

  • Your agent can run scenarios on buydowns and other costs of selling in advance so you’re prepared when an offer comes in.

As Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), says:

“Home sellers need to be realistic about local market conditions, which could require price discounts and other incentives to attract buyers.”

And sellers who offer solutions like buydowns can make meaningful impact where home buyers need it most: in their wallets.

Bottom Line

When you’re looking for ways to make your house more appealing to buyers, a price reduction isn’t your only option. A mortgage rate buydown could help a buyer save more each month, especially in the early years of their loan.

Talk to your agent or a trusted lender which incentives could make the biggest difference for buyers in our market, while still protecting your bottom line.

What the Silver Tsunami Means if You’re Planning To Sell

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What the Silver Tsunami Means if You’re Planning To Sell Simplifying The Market

If you’re following the housing market, you may have heard the term “silver tsunami” lately. It’s the idea that millions of homes owned by older Americans could come onto the market as more homeowners reach retirement age and make their next move.

And when you hear a phrase like that, it’s easy to picture a flood of houses hitting the market all at once. But that picture doesn’t match the data.

This isn’t expected to happen overnight. 

And if you’re planning to sell, it’s not a reason to put your plans on hold. Let’s look at what the research actually says.

The Silver Tsunami Will Be More of a Gradual Shift

According to Realtor.com, about 13.9 million homes owned by older Americans are expected to change hands by 2036. Sure, that’s a big number. But these homes aren’t all expected to come onto the market at once.

The projections show this happening gradually over the next decade, with roughly 1.3 to 1.5 million homes changing hands each year (see graph below):

a blue graph with white text

Rather than a sudden wave of houses flooding the market, this is a gradual shift as longtime homeowners make decisions about where and how they want to live.

The term silver tsunami makes for a dramatic headline, but the actual data tells a much less dramatic story. And there’s another reason these homes won’t overwhelm the market.

The Market Has Room for More Homes

After the 2008 housing crash, builders significantly slowed construction. And for years afterward, they didn’t build enough homes to keep up with demand. That led to a housing shortage we’re still dealing with today.

And just how big a gap are we talking about? Estimates vary, but many experts say the U.S. is still millions of homes short. For example, a recent report from the White House Council of Economic Advisers explains:

“If homebuilding and the growth of the single-family housing stock had continued at their historical pace instead of falling dramatically after 2008, there would be 10 million or more additional single-family homes today.”

As more longtime homeowners sell, those homes will help a gap that’s already there. But they won’t push us over the edge. That’s because, at the same time, more households are expected to form in the decade ahead, and they’ll need homes, too. 

So, more homes becoming available over time isn’t automatically a bad thing. It can give buyers more options and help create a more balanced housing market moving forward.

What Actually Matters When You Sell

Here’s the takeaway if you’re thinking about selling your house. The silver tsunami isn’t something you need to plan your move around. What’s happening in your local market is far more important than a national projection about the next decade.

That’s because real estate is local. Some markets have more homes for sale than others. Some are seeing houses sell relatively quickly, while others are taking longer.

And those are the conditions that matter when you’re deciding how to price, prepare, and market your house.

For example, an agent who knows your area can help you understand:

  • How many homes are for sale nearby. This tells you how much choice buyers have and how your house will compare.

  • What similar houses are actually selling for. That’s one of the most important factors in setting a competitive asking price.

  • What buyers are looking for right now. Knowing which features and improvements matter most can help your house make a strong first impression.

And that’s something you can act on today, regardless of what happens with the silver tsunami over the next decade.

The right strategy starts with understanding your local market and making decisions based on what’s happening there, not what a dramatic national headline suggests might happen years from now.

Bottom Line

The silver tsunami may sound like a major wave of homes coming onto the market, but the research points to a gradual shift over the next decade, not a sudden flood of listings.

If you’re thinking about selling, don’t let that headline make you second-guess your plans. Talk to an agent about what’s happening in your local market.

Don’t Let the Fear of a Buyer Backing Out Scare You Away from Selling

Expired/Withdrawn/Canceled, For Sellers, Real Estate, Selling Tips, , , , ,

Don't Let the Fear of a Buyer Backing Out Scare You Away from Selling Simplifying The Market

There’s nothing quite like the excitement of getting an offer on your house. You’re one step closer to moving on to what’s next. But what happens if that buyer backs out or ghosts you before closing?

If you’ve been seeing headlines about more home sales falling through lately, that possibility may be keeping you up at night. And it’s true. According to Redfin and Cotality, canceled contracts have been on the rise.

But here’s what those headlines don’t always tell you…

Most sales still go through. Only 10-15% hit this snag. And even so, there are things you can do to help keep your sale from becoming one of them.

The key is knowing what tends to scare buyers away and getting ahead of those issues before they have a chance to derail your move.

What’s Behind the Rise in Canceled Contracts?

Today’s buyers are being more cautious. Mortgage rates are stretching budgets, and with more homes to choose from, buyers have more freedom to walk away if something doesn’t feel right. As Redfin explains:

“That gives house hunters more options and makes them more likely to walk away if an inspection uncovers problems, an appraisal comes in low or the seller doesn’t agree to concessions.”

That’s why an accepted offer isn’t always a guaranteed sale. But it doesn’t mean you should be afraid to put your house on the market, either.

It just means getting ahead of potential problems matters more than ever.

3 Things That Can Scare Off a Buyer (and How To Get Ahead of Them)

A Redfin survey asked real estate agents why some buyers are backing out. And their answers give you a short of cheatsheet into what could go sideways and how you can get ahead of those headaches (see graph below):

a graph of a survey

1. Inspection or repair issues (70.4%)

This is the big one. And the good news? It’s also one of the areas where you can be the most proactive.

One simple way to head this off is by getting a pre-listing inspection before your house goes on the market. That way, if something needs attention, you can decide whether to fix it upfront (before you sell), adjust your price, or disclose it and come in already prepared for what’s likely to pop up in negotiations. It’s a lot better to find the skeletons in the closet before a buyer does.

2. Buyer financing falls through (27.8%)

Even buyers who are pre-approved can run into financing issues before closing. And with mortgage rates putting extra pressure on affordability, some buyers are finding it harder to make the numbers work.

While you can’t control whether a buyer’s loan goes through, you can work with your agent to look closely at their financing before accepting an offer. And if affordability is the concern, your agent can help you explore whether incentives like closing cost credits or a mortgage-rate buydown could make a difference.

3. The buyer can’t sell their current home (21%)

Sometimes, your buyer needs to sell their house before they can buy yours. And if their sale falls through, yours could be affected too.

That’s why it’s important to understand any home-sale contingencies before accepting an offer. Your agent can help you look at where the buyer is in their own selling process and what protections you may want in place.

The goal isn’t to eliminate every possible risk. It’s to avoid being caught off guard by the ones you can plan for.

Don’t Let the What-Ifs Keep You Up at Night 

Just remember when you read headlines about canceled deals, they don’t give you the full picture. Most home sales still make it to closing.

And if a sale does fall through, that doesn’t automatically mean your house won’t sell. Sometimes a buyer’s circumstances change. Sometimes an issue comes up that can be addressed before the next offer.

What matters is having an agent who knows how to spot potential problems early, help you navigate negotiations, and keep your sale moving forward.

Because while you can’t control every twist and turn, you can control how prepared you are.

Bottom Line

There’s no need to let the fear of a buyer backing out hold you back. While no sale comes with guarantees, a little preparation upfront can go a long way toward making the whole process smoother.

If you’re ready to make a move, talk to a local agent about whether a pre-listing inspection makes sense for you.

Who’s Buying Homes with Cash Right Now?

Agent Value, Buying Tips, Equity, For Buyers, For Sellers, Real Estate, Selling Tips, , , , ,

Who’s Buying Homes with Cash Right Now? Simplifying The Market

Ryan Serhant, CEO of SERHANT, says there isn’t just 1 housing market right now. There are really 4: cash buyers, buyers who need a mortgage, homeowners with low mortgage rates, and builders.

Today, let’s zoom in on the 1st group – cash buyers.

According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), 27% of homes sold in September were bought with all cash. That’s more than 1 in 4 buyers. And that’s a pretty big number, especially when so many people are struggling with affordability.

So where is all that cash coming from? When you hear a number like that, it’s easy to picture wealthy investors buying up houses left and right. But that’s not necessarily the case. Some of those cash buyers are actually homeowners who’ve built up enough equity to buy their next home outright.

Here’s what you should know about who’s paying cash and what that really means for the market.

Who’s Paying Cash?

Cash buyers tend to fall into a few groups, according to NAR:

  • Homeowners who sold a house and are using that money to buy their next one

  • People buying a 2nd home

  • Investors

So, it’s not all those big investors social media talks about. That 1st group may include people a lot more like you. Here’s how. According to Cotality, the average homeowner with a mortgage has about $310,000 in equity.

That’s a big deal right now. Many homeowners feel stuck because they don’t want to give up the low mortgage rate they have today. But once they learn they may have enough equity to move and pay cash for their next home, today’s rates don’t matter nearly as much. Because buying in all cash means…

  • No monthly mortgage payment

  • No need to borrow at today’s mortgage rates

  • No loan approval process, so you may be able to close faster

And even if the equity won’t cover the whole purchase, putting more of it toward the next home means borrowing less. That can mean a smaller monthly payment, too.

But cash buyers like this are more common in some places than others. And how big of a segment of your local market this is, is going to depend on where you live.

For example, Realtor.com data shows cash buyers made up almost 47% of sales in Mississippi and 46% in Montana earlier this year (see map below).

Where does your state fall?

a map of the united states

According to Realtor.com, the states with the most cash buyers reflect “a mix of affordability, wealth and buyer demographics.” Think places with lower home prices, or lots of retirees and 2nd-home buyers.

So, depending on where you live, you may see a lot more (or a lot fewer) cash buyers than the national number suggests. An agent who knows your area can tell you who’s actually buying near you.

Most Buyers Are Still Using a Mortgage

And if all of this has you thinking everyone’s paying cash, they’re not. If you’re planning to buy and need a mortgage, you’re actually in the majority.

Based on NAR’s numbers, nearly 3 out of 4 home purchases still involve financing. And for homes priced between $200,000 and $750,000, only about 1 in 5 sold for cash, according to Realtor.com (see graph below):

a graph of green bars

That means most people buying in that price range are financing their purchase, too. So, there’s no need to assume you’re at a disadvantage just because you’re using a loan.

Cash Buyers and Your Move

So, what does all this mean for you? Maybe more than you think.

If you already own a house, you may have enough equity to make your next move more affordable than you realize. And if you’re buying with a mortgage, remember, you’re in good company. Most buyers are financing their purchases, too.

The takeaway? Don’t make assumptions about what’s possible based on how other people are buying homes. What really matters is your equity, your budget, and what’s happening in your local market.

Bottom Line

Cash buyers are a meaningful part of today’s market, but they aren’t the whole market.

Whether you’re hoping to put your equity to work or you’re buying with a mortgage, a local real estate agent can help you see how much equity you have, who’s buying in your area, and what that means for your next move.

To Sell or Rent? How To Choose the Best Path for Your House.

Agent Value, For Sellers, Price It Right/Overpricing, Real Estate, Selling Tips, , , , ,

To Sell or Rent? How To Choose the Best Path for Your House. Simplifying The Market

Selling your house is a big step, and you want it to go smoothly. And with houses taking a little longer to sell these days, renting it out might start to sound like a nice backup plan.

But the reality is, while renting can work well for some people, it’s also a big commitment. So before you decide, it helps to see the whole picture first.

Why Some Sellers Are Deciding To Rent Instead

Lately, some sellers are choosing to hang on to their houses and rent them out instead. According to Parcl, around 9% of homes for rent right now were previously up for sale. 

Here’s why. 

Some homeowners put their houses on the market expecting a faster process than they got or a certain price buyers didn’t respond to. And when things didn’t go exactly as planned, they decided to rent instead. As Kara Ng, Senior Economist at Zillow, explains:

“Bargaining power is tilting toward buyers and homes are taking longer to sell, making renting out a property one way to buy time rather than compete aggressively on price.”

But here’s the important distinction. Just because some sellers are choosing to rent doesn’t mean selling isn’t working. In many cases, the difference comes down to how well a house is priced, prepared, and marketed for today’s buyers. 

Parcl data shows where these “accidental landlords” – owners who planned to sell but decided to rent instead – are most common (see graph below):

a blue and yellow graph with white text

They make up around 17% of homes for rent in places like Sherman and Houston, TX, but less than 4% in markets like Des Moines, IA and Bloomington, IN. 

That’s a pretty big difference. And it shows why you have to know what’s happening in your neighborhood. Your market, your asking price, and your strategy all play a role in how your sale goes.

A local agent can show you how houses like yours are selling, what strategies work best, and help you weigh your options – not to push you to sell, but so you at least have the full picture based on today’s market. And part of making an informed decision is understanding what renting your house would actually take.

What Being a Landlord Actually Looks Like

While renting might sound like easy passive income on paper, in practice, it’s a hands-on job with rules to follow. As Invest West Management puts it:

“Even if you never intended to become a landlord, the law still sees you as one — and you must meet all legal obligations that come with that role. This often includes registering the tenancy, providing tenants with certain disclosures, and ensuring the property meets safety standards.”

You’d also be the one chasing missed rent payments, fixing damage between tenants, and covering unexpected repairs. Not to mention fielding weekend calls about leaky dishwashers or broken AC units. 

There are expenses beyond regular maintenance and repairs, too. According to Bankrate, these are a few of the biggest: 

  • Insurance premiums (landlord insurance typically costs about 25% more than a standard homeowners policy)

  • Management fees (if you hire a property manager, they usually charge around 10% of the rent) 

  • Gaps between tenants, when you pay the mortgage without rental income

How To Give Your House a Strong Start

If you want to be a landlord and you’re prepared for the responsibility, renting may be a great fit. But if you’d really rather sell, don’t let today’s market convince you that you can’t. 

A great agent can make it happen. The key is having an open conversation up front with your agent about pricing and how to market your house. Nailing those details from day 1 helps your house make a great first impression, so renting doesn’t have to be your fallback.

Bottom Line

Renting can be a good fit for the right person with the right house, but it isn’t the only option. A smart sales strategy can help your house stand out to buyers from day one.

So, if you’re on the fence, a local real estate agent can help you compare what selling and renting would each look like for you.

Homes Are Still Selling – Even in a Slower Market

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Homes Are Still Selling – Even in a Slower Market Simplifying The Market

If you’ve seen headlines saying home sales are slowing down, you may be wondering: is this really a good time to sell?

While the latest numbers show sales picked up slightly in September, they’re still down compared to last year. But here’s the perspective the headlines can miss.

Homes are still selling every single day. Because no matter what’s happening with mortgage rates or the economy, life keeps happening too. People get new jobs. Families grow. Relationships change. People retire, downsize, or need to move closer to the people they love. 

And those life changes create buyers and sellers in every market.

Just Look at the Math

According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), based on the current pace homeowners are expected to sell almost 4 million homes this year. Break that down, and that’s roughly:

  • 11,000 homes every day.

  • 450 homes every hour.

  • 8 homes every minute.

So, yes, the market may be moving at a slower pace than it has at other points in time. But slower doesn’t mean it’s stopped. As Hannah Jones, Senior Economic Research Analyst at Realtor.com, says:

“Even in today’s high-price, high-rate market, homebuying activity around major life events, such as having kids, a job change, or a divorce, keeps the market in motion.”

Thousands of buyers are still making moves every day. The key is making sure your house is positioned to get their attention.

What That Means for Your Sale

Today’s buyers have more choices, so they can afford to be more selective about things like price and condition. That makes having the right strategy from the start especially important.

Because you don’t need every buyer to be looking for a home like yours. You just need the right one – and to know how to get in front of that buyer.

Bottom Line

Don’t let a headline about slowing home sales convince you no one is buying. Homes are still selling every minute of every day.

If you need or want to move, talk to an agent about what it’ll take to make sure yours is one of them.

Why There are More Homes for Sale Right Now (and What It Means for You)

Buying Tips, For Buyers, For Sellers, Inventory, Real Estate, Selling Tips, , , , ,

Why There are More Homes for Sale Right Now (and What It Means for You) Simplifying The Market

Mortgage rates being back above 7% isn’t exactly the news most people wanted. But it’s changing the market in ways that matter whether you’re buying or selling.

The number of homes for sale is growing faster than it was this time last year. And interestingly, the main reason isn’t a flood of new listings. It’s because homes aren’t selling as quickly.

Here’s why – and what that means if you’re thinking about buying or selling.

Inventory Growth Is Picking Up Steam

According to HousingWire Data, after inventory growth slowed down for most of the past year, it’s accelerated again in recent weeks. You can see that in the graph below. Just look at the blue line:

a graph of growth and growth

And what’s behind this shift might surprise you.

When rates rise, some buyers hit pause. That means fewer homes sell each week. And as those unsold homes stay on the market alongside new listings, the number available starts to grow (see the blue line in the graph below).

Here’s another way to look at it to make it even more obvious. The graph below shows the relationship between rates and inventory. Again, this year is the blue line. Last year? That’s the green.

With rates inching up this year, you can see inventory has grown by about 25k. But when rates went down this time last year, buyers jumped back in, and inventory actually dropped by about 9k.

a graph of growth and growth of a mortgage

Logan Mohtashami, Lead Analyst at HousingWire, explains how that’s flipped from 2025 to 2026:

“With mortgage rates over 7%, demand tends to soften and inventory rises . . .”

Homes Are Spending More Time on the Market

Here’s another metric that shows the impact rates are having: time on market. Data from Realtor.com shows the typical home spent 61 days on the market this September. Back in September 2021, it was just 41 days (see graph below):

a graph of sales growth

Here’s what that tells us. In 2021, when rates were low, more buyers were active, and homes sold fast. But now that rates are a bit higher, not as many buyers are interested, so it takes a bit longer to close a deal.

How To Make This Market Work for You

So, what does all of this mean for your plans? That depends on which side of the move you’re on:

If you’re buying, more homes for sale means more choices and less pressure to rush. And more room to negotiate too. A house that’s been sitting for a while could have a seller who’s more willing to talk – not just about price, but repairs, closing costs, or even helping buy down your mortgage rate.

That doesn’t mean every seller will play ball. But compared to the frenzy of a few years ago, buyers have more leverage now.

If you’re selling, the right strategy can make all the difference. Buyers have more homes to choose from, so making yours stand out is especially important. That starts with pricing it right from day one, making a great first impression, and working with your agent to highlight what makes your house worth choosing. Buyers are still buying and homes are still selling. The key is making sure yours is positioned to attract the right buyer.

The market hasn’t stopped. It’s just moving at a different pace. And whether you’re buying or selling, your strategy needs to move with it.

Bottom Line

In many places right now, inventory is growing and homes are taking a bit longer to sell. And that’s information that should shape the strategy you use going in.

Whether you’re buying or selling, connect with a local real estate agent to look at how long homes are taking to sell in your neighborhood, so your offer, or your price, fits today’s market.

Renovate or Relocate? What To Know Before You Decide To Age in Place

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Renovate or Relocate? What To Know Before You Decide To Age in Place Simplifying The Market

You’ve spent years making your house feel like home, celebrating milestones, making each room your own, and turning neighbors into friends. As you look ahead to the next chapter of your life, it’s natural to wonder if this is still the place you want to spend it.

Whether you’re leaning toward staying in your house as you get older or moving to a 55+ community, the goal is the same: a home that fits the life you want, with more time for the people and things you love. So, here’s what to consider before you decide.

What It Can Take To Stay Put

Wanting to stay in a house you love and are familiar with makes sense. But most houses need at least some updates to make aging in place easier.

In fact, the Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University (JCHS) finds that fewer than 4% of homes have the basics, like single-floor living, no-step entries, and wide hallways and doorways (see graph below):

a diagram of a pie chart

That means for most homeowners, staying put means doing a remodel.

The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) reports more than half of remodelers (56%) take on this kind of work. Some of the most common projects are installing grab bars, curb-less showers (walk-in showers with no ledge to step over), and wider doorways.

Now, that’s not to say you can’t go this route. You most certainly can. But if this is how you’re leaning just know you’d be living with contractor noise and dust until the work gets done. Some people don’t want to live in a construction zone. Not to mention, having to manage the contractors and schedules, etc.

Your Equity Could Pay for Your Next Move

If that sounds like something you’d rather avoid, here’s the good news. The money for your next home may already be sitting in your current one. It’s called equity, which is the difference between what your house is worth and what you still owe on it. After years of mortgage payments and rising home values, it adds up. Jess Catorc, Co-Founder of Carry, explains:

“The way home equity builds and is used changes a lot depending on your stage of life. . . . For older homeowners, decades of mortgage payments and home-value growth can turn equity into a financial cushion.“

When you sell, that cushion can go toward a home that’s ready for this stage of life. No demo required. You just get the keys and it’s all there, ready for you. That means less time on projects and more time for living. And one option you may consider if you’re entertaining a move is a 55+ plus community.

Why 55+ Communities Are Worth a Look 

From the homes to the shared spaces to the activity calendar, these communities are planned around this stage of life. And that means everything you need is already rolled into one place. Rocket Mortgage lists some of the biggest perks (see visual below):

a blue and white diagram with white text

Instead of spending time and money to make your house easier to live in, you’d move into a community that’s designed with that in mind from the jump. That frees you up for the good stuff, like a morning walk with a neighbor, a game night down the street, or finally trying the hobby you’ve been putting off.

Bottom Line

Staying and moving can both be good choices. What matters most is finding the place where you’ll feel comfortable and at home for years to come.

A local real estate agent can help you weigh the two by showing you what your house could sell for and what 55+ communities in your area have to offer, so you can decide what feels right for you.

Myth vs. Reality: Does the Fed Control Mortgage Rates?

Affordability, Agent Value, Buying Tips, Economy, For Buyers, For Sellers, Mortgage Rates, Real Estate, Selling Tips, , , , ,

Myth vs. Reality: Does the Fed Control Mortgage Rates? Simplifying The Market

You’ve probably heard the Federal Reserve (the Fed) is raising rates again. And if you’re planning to buy or sell a house, you may be wondering what that means for you.

With all the headlines, it’s easy to think the Fed sets mortgage rates. That’s actually a common myth. But the Fed’s decisions can still have an impact on them.

So, where does that leave you? The next few months could get a little bumpy. But the Fed is playing the long game. And with the right plan, you can still make a move that works. Let’s break it down.

Why the Fed Is Raising Rates

It all comes back to inflation. With prices rising fast, everything is getting more expensive – and that leaves buyers with less spending power and makes homes cost more to build.

So, the Fed raises its key short-term rate (the Federal Funds Rate) to slow down inflation. And that’s where a lot of people get tripped up.

  • MYTH: The Fed controls mortgage rates.

  • REALITY: The Fed has an impact on mortgage rates, but it’s only one piece of the puzzle.

As NerdWallet explains:

“The Federal Reserve influences mortgage rates, but doesn’t set them. . . Mortgage rates are influenced by many elements, including the inflation rate, the pace of job creation, and whether the economy is growing or shrinking. The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy is a factor, too . . .”

Here’s the simplest way to explain how it all fits together. Mortgage rates tend to follow something called the 10-year treasury yield. That’s the return investors get for lending money to the government for 10 years. And that yield moves up and down based on what investors expect from inflation and the economy.

Right now, one of the biggest things moving that yield is the conflict in Iran. It’s pushed oil prices higher, which has investors worried about inflation. That’s why any news about the conflict can move mortgage rates. If there’s resolution in Iran, that could take some pressure off inflation and mortgage rates. But the timing is hard to predict.

What the Fed does can move that yield, too. When they hike the Federal Funds Rate to fight inflation, investors pay attention. That can push the 10-year yield up, and mortgage rates usually follow. But once inflation cools, the yield has room to come back down, and mortgage rates can, too. That gives buyers some of their purchasing power back (see graphic below):

a diagram of a federal funds rate

Think of it as a little pain today to set up some relief down the road. But how long could that short-term pain last? A lot depends on what the Fed does next.

There’s a Strong Possibility the Fed Will Hike Again This Year

According to CME FedWatch, there’s over an 80% chance the Fed hikes their federal funds rate at least once more before the end of 2026 (see graph below):

a graph of hikers with blue squares

Remember, the Fed doesn’t set mortgage rates. But another hike will likely keep upward pressure on them in the short term. So, should you wait it out? Sam Williamson, Senior Economist at First American, says this:

“Over time, firmer Fed action could help steady the bond market and open the door to lower mortgage rates, but only if investors become more confident that inflation is coming under control.“

And there are some early signs that’s starting to happen. Inflation cooled faster than experts expected in August:

  • PCE inflation dropped to 3.4%, down from 3.7% in July.

  • Core PCE (the Fed’s preferred measure which leaves out food and energy prices) fell to 3%, down from 3.3%.

That’s a step in the right direction, and it’s part of why the odds of a hike at the Fed’s October meeting have come down recently. But inflation’s still above the Fed’s 2% target, and it’s been that way for about 5 years. So, lower rates could still take a while. Your best bet is a plan that works at today’s rates.

How To Make Your Move Work Right Now

While this rate hike cycle isn’t the headline you want to see, it doesn’t mean you have to wait. There are still ways to move, even now.

  • If you’re buying: Get pre-approved so you know your real budget. Ask your lender about your options to get the best rate possible. And once you’re under contract, lock your rate so a jump before closing doesn’t raise your payment.

  • If you’re selling: Decide what matters most to you – a quick sale or top dollar. Each one can call for a different plan. Price for today’s buyers, whose budgets are smaller with higher rates. And think about offering a rate buydown or other concession. They can do more for a buyer’s budget than a price cut.

Bottom Line

The Fed doesn’t set mortgage rates, but its hikes can keep them higher for a while. The goal is to bring inflation, and eventually rates, down over time. With more hikes likely this year, waiting may not pay off. So, connect with a local real estate agent to map out a plan that works at today’s rates.

What Higher Mortgage Rates Mean for Home Sellers

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What Higher Mortgage Rates Mean for Home Sellers Simplifying The Market

Higher mortgage rates don’t just affect buyers. They can change what it takes to sell your house, too.

That’s because today’s buyers are paying close attention to affordability. And when rates rise, even a relatively small change can make a noticeable difference in their monthly payment. So, they’re looking for ways to make the numbers work. And in some markets, new construction is giving them exactly that.

If you’re planning to sell, that doesn’t mean you can’t compete. But it does mean you need to understand what builders are doing to win over buyers – and what options you have, too.

Builders Are Competing on the Monthly Payment

New construction has something interesting going for it right now. While existing-home sales  (homes that have previously been lived in) continue to struggle under the weight of higher mortgage rates, new-home sales are holding up a bit better.

In a recent interview, Logan Mohtashami, Chief Economist at HousingWire explains new-home sales are at an 8-month high and are now running around 2019 levels. On the flip side, existing home sales are lagging behind and fall about 1 million home sales short of 2019 levels.

One big reason builders have been able to navigate higher rates differently is incentives. According to Realtor.com, nearly 1 in 5 (18.8%) newly built homes come with some kind of buyer incentive advertised up front:

a graph of a company's sales

The most common may surprise you. As the graph shows, many builders are offering reduced rates, sometimes through something called a mortgage rate buydown.

It’s essentially where they pay upfront costs to help buyers get a lower rate, and by extension, a lower monthly payment. It has obvious draws for buyers. For homebuilders, it helps them get their houses sold. So, a lot of builders see it as a win-win. That’s why reduced rates are a part of 13.8% of new home listings.

In some cases, builders are offering rates below 6%, maybe even far below 6%. And that can help buyers shave hundreds off their monthly payment. That’s a big difference to a buyer who are feeling the pinch right now.

So, How Can Sellers Like You Compete?

First, don’t assume a mortgage rate buydown is something only a builder can offer. Sellers can contribute toward a buyer’s rate buydown too, depending on the loan and transaction. Does that mean you should offer one? Or that you have to if you want to compete? Not necessarily.

A buydown is just one possible lever. Depending on your market and the buyer, it may make more sense to negotiate on price, contribute toward your buyer’s closing costs, make repairs, or make sure your house stands out in ways a new build can’t. That’s why working with an agent who knows your local competition matters. Joel Berner, Senior Economist at Realtor.com, says:

“Sellers of existing homes are facing a lot of competition from the new-home space. . . so sellers should highlight the local amenities of their neighborhoods in contrast to the more suburban or exurban communities where many new homes are built.”

A great agent will do this naturally anyways. Knowing what makes your house different and showcasing that in your listing can help your house stand out. And remember, being open to making a few compromises or throwing in some concessions can make a bigger difference for buyers than you may think.

Today’s Market Rewards Sellers Who Adapt

Builders have also been quicker to adjust their prices based on what buyers can actually afford and where demand is. That’s putting pressure on the resale market in some areas. Robert Dietz, Chief Economist at the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB), explains:

“. . . existing homeowners now have to do the price discovery that builders have been doing since 2022.”

That’s an important message if you’re hoping to sell.

You don’t automatically need to slash your price or offer a big concession. But you do need to price and market your house based on what buyers can pay today – not what sellers could get a few years ago.

And remember, this varies tremendously by location. New construction represents a much bigger share of the competition in some markets than others, and builder incentives aren’t equally common everywhere. So, lean on an agent to see how big of a factor builders are in your area.

Bottom Line

Higher mortgage rates are making buyers more cost-conscious. Builders know that, and many are responding with rate buydowns, closing-cost help, price reductions, and other incentives.

If you’re thinking about selling, talk to an agent about what buyers are getting from other homes in your area – including new construction – so you can make sure your house is positioned to compete.